Insider Weekly Picks

Palomar League-Week 8 Picks (Last week 3-1)

Westview moves on to Rancho Bernardo for what will probably be the senior Wolverine players last game in Westview Stadium. The Poway win was a dominating performance given two of Poway’s  TD’s came on two big plays given up by the Wolverine defense.  Rancho Bernardo (RB) 2-5 overall, 2-1 in league play, with victories over Vista and Mt. Carmel, has the same league record the Wolverines.  RB seems to get better every week surprising me with a 24-7 win over Vista last Friday. I’m going to wait until later in the week to handicap this one.  Too close to call this early in the week.  Vista will travel to Poway this Friday.  In typical Poway fashion, the word is Poway has already begun to marginalize Westview’s win blaming it on, of all things, Friday the 13th and the referee’s. It’s a home game for them and it’s not Friday the 13th, as a result, they should roll over Vista. Poway 95 Vista 0.  Not really, Poway 27 Vista 14. Mt. Carmel has a home game against Del Norte. With both teams fresh off a thumping, both teams will look to rebound. With Mathew Holmes at the helm, the Mt. Carmel will stay true to their strength, limit sacks and interceptions and play a game of field position.  Don’t let Mt. Carmel’s performance against Ramona fool you. They’re getting better each week. Del Norte struggles scoring points and this game will not give them many opportunities.  Mt. Carmel 28 Del Norte 3.

Palomar League-Week 7 Picks (Last week 3-1)

42-13, nothing more needs to be said about the embarrassing loss to Ramona last Friday.  That was a game Westview should have won.  On to Poway. New coaches bring new philosophies and both schools have new coaches. Westview coach Kyle Williams came in last season promising toughness and a championship attitude, Poway’s new coach Scott Coats was a finalist for the Westview head coaching job vacated by Mike Woodward a year and a half ago, that job was given to current coach Kyle Williams. Coats knows how to build a winner. While at Piedmont high school in northern California he took over a team that went 5-6 in 2012 and went 6-6 in his first year winning a playoff game. The following year his team went  12-1, won their league, made it to the CIF semi-finals eventually losing to Justin-Siena. Westview comes into Friday nights contest losing two straight by an average of 32 points. Poway comes into the contest on a two-game winning streak, 2-0 in conference play, 3-3 overall. This is a tough game to handicap, but let’s start with last years 31-6 Poway Victory.  Add 3 points to our score for home field advantage 31-9, Last years special teams cost us at least 21 points but we hired a new special teams coach and have improved a lot over last year, take 14 away from Poway 17-9 offensively were are 13.5 points a game better on offense add 14 points to Westview, 23-17. Poway is 11 points worse on offense take 11 away from Poway 21-6.  Now the defense. Poway’s defense is 14 points worse than last year add 14 points to Westview 35-6. Westview is 1 point better on defense this year versus last year subtract 1 point to Poway. Westview’s coaches will have them prepared to play, the questions is will the players play for 4 quarters and do they know how to finish. Final score 35-6 Westview. Vista has a home game against Rancho Bernardo.  Vista keeps getting better every week improving to 2-4 overall and an impressive 52-0 win over Del Norte.  Rancho Bernardo is coming off a 42-0 loss against the number one ranked Mission Hills Grizzlies.  Vista is a simple, physical grind it out, team.  They will beat Ranch Bernardo 28-10. Del Norte has a non-conference game against Escondido. Escondido had a close loss to Rancho Buena Vista and beat Fallbrook 17-0.  Del Norte will definitely have to bring their “A” game to win on the road against the Cougars.  Take Escondido 28-17 over the Nighthawks. Ramona has a road game against the the Mt. Carmel Sundevils.  The Sundevils tripped me up last week by making a QB change they will probably stick with the remainder of the season.  Mathew Holmes making his first start of the season against Poway put Mt. Carmel in a position to win before falling short in the 4th quarter 38-21.  With Holmes at the helm Mt. Carmel is a much better team that will pose problems for the remainder of their schedule, just not against Ramona.  The Bulldogs are battle-tested, 6-0 and play the near mistake free, kind of football a smaller D2 school needs to play to win. Ramona wins this one 28-7.

 

Palomar League-Week 6 Picks (Last week 2-2)

Westview is coming off a bye week that enabled them to get healthier. Westview arguably has one of the best passing offenses in the county but were only able to put only 14 points on the board against division 1 teams. Westview’s defense struggled mightily against against those same opponents giving up 89 points in those same two games.  The importance of a win for the Wolverines is unquestionable and will define this staff and its players for years to come. If the Wolverines come ready to play they win a close one 28-27. Del Norte has a home game against the Vista Panthers. Both teams are 0-2 in league play and 1-4 overall.  Vista’s only win came against a tough San Pasqual team while Del Norte’s came against the struggling Fallbrook Warriors. Vista wins this one running away 28-14.  Rancho Bernardo plays host to the Mission Hills Grizzly’s .  After a 34-20 thumping last year Mission Hills will look to show who’s the best team in the county.  Rancho Bernardo will not score a point in this contest and the high powered Grizzly offense will score a lot.  The Grizzly’s win this one 50-0. Poway plays host to the Mt. Carmel Sundevils.  Poway has two wins this season against the winless Bonita Vista Barons and the one win Del Norte Nighthawks. Mt. Carmel has one win coming from a one win Vista team. Poway’s new coaching staff and new offense will have them sending chills down the spines of opponents, just not this year. This one could go either way. I like Poway like I liked Vista against Mt. Carmel in week 4 and Mt. Carmel shocked the county with an upset win over Vista.  I will be surprised if Mt. Carmel scores more than 7 points. Poway wins 21-7.

 

Palomar League-Week 5 Picks (Last week 4-5)

Westview played okay against a struggling Del Norte Team. Westview will want to avenge last years humbling loss against Torrey Pines and show they belong in the conversation among San Diego’s elite teams. Westview gets healthier but is still a little banged up. If Westview’s offense can control the line of scrimmage there may be only 2-3 drives per quarter. If they can get up early and often it could be a one-sided affair. Westview 34 Torrey Pines 17.  Ramona plays Vista in a key league match-up.  Vista made me look like a fool after falling to Mt. Carmel 7-0 (won’t make that mistake again) Ramona blasted Rancho Bernardo 28-0. Ramona wins this one as well. Ramona 21 Vista 7.  Rancho Bernardo hosts Mt. Carmel this week that could prove to produce less offensive yardage than the Mt. Carmel, Vista match-up.  Both teams are not playing good football right now. Mt. Carmel 7  Rancho Bernardo 0.  Del Norte plays host to Poway this week. Poway’s only win came against Bonita Vista that has not won a game all season. Del Norte’s only win came a against a winless Fallbrook team. This game could eclipse the Mt. Carmel, Rancho Bernardo game in excitement. If you have a choice go to the Poway, Del Norte Contest. Poway will rebound this week getting a much needed win. Poway 28 Del Norte 7. 

Palomar League-Week 4 Picks

Westview’s defense got hit big last week and gave up 48. Look for Donnelly’s Dogs to act like someone is trying to take away their bone. Westview 28 Del Norte 0. Ramona Plays Rancho Bernardo in Ramona. Ramona’s playing good football right now RB isn’t. Ramona 35 Rancho Bernardo 14. Poway plays La Costa Canyon in Poway. Two years ago Poway’s new coach was a candidate for the Westview head coaching job.  He was second then and will be again Friday Night.  LCC 38 Poway 14. Vista Plays Mt. Carmel in Sundevil Stadium. Mt. Carmel hasn’t won a game so far this season. It’s often said, “Win the games you should win”. Mt. Carmel should win this game but won’t. Bet the Farm, the Ranch and everything else.  Vista 21 Mt. Carmel 7.  See John’s Picks by clicking here.